Overview

Water availability in many regions depends on precipitation patterns, snow accumulation and melt, and the timing of runoff. We investigate how climate variability and change affect these interconnected processes and shape regional water resources.

Research directions

  • Climate-driven changes in precipitation patterns, snowpack dynamics, and river flow regimes.
  • The role of atmospheric rivers and large-scale weather systems in regional hydroclimate variability.
  • Connections between large-scale climate variability and regional precipitation-producing weather systems.

Representative findings

What we have learned

Geophys. Res. Lett., 46 (2019)

Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Heavy Snowmelt in the Western United States

A new precipitation-and-snow (PAS) framework identifies five event types, revealing that 50–90% of rainfall events involve snowpack changes across the western U.S. Snow accumulation is widespread, while melting is more common in coastal mountains, where relatively rare atmospheric rivers can drive substantial snowmelt during heavy...

See Featured in AGU EOS by Valeriy Ivanov, DOE highlight

J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 124 (2019)

Tracing the Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Land

Atmospheric rivers reshape western U.S. watershed hydrology by bringing heavy precipitation, reducing evaporation, and accelerating snowmelt through warmer temperatures and increased radiative heating. In some watersheds, they double runoff and account for 30–60% of annual streamflow variations, amplifying seasonal contrasts in regional water availability.

See Featured in AGU EOS by Minghua Zhang, DOE highlight, PNNL highlight

Publications

Related papers

  1. Kilometer-Scale Modeling of Atmospheric River Precipitation Using the Regionally Refined SCREAM Model

    Sourav Taraphdar, L. Ruby Leung, Xiaodong Chen, Ning Sun

    J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 18 (2026)

  2. AI agent for hydrologic modeling: definition, development, and application

    Songkun Yan, Mengye Chen, Zhi Li, Yixin Wen, Siyu Zhu, Mofan Zhang, Di Liu, Jie Cao, Xiaodong Chen, Chengbin Deng, Tiantian Yang, Yang Hong

    Geophys. Res. Lett., 53 (2026)

  3. Intensification of extreme precipitation across the Tibetan Plateau and its climatic drivers over 1982-2020

    Yiming Song, Shiqin Xu, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Hylke E. Beck, Xiaodong Chen, Zhongbo Yu, Ningpeng Dong, Qian Cao, Xiaolei Fu, Zhe Yang, Yuliang Zhang, Matthew F. McCabe

    Glob. Planet. Change, 256 (2026)

  4. Hourly precipitation intensities at 4-km resolution show statistically significant increasing trends from 1991 to 2022 in the CONUS-404 hydroclimate reanalysis

    Clément Guilloteau, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

    Geophys. Res. Lett., 52 (2025)

  5. Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Madden-Julian Oscillation on the US Puget Sound Regional Hydroclimate

    Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Ning Sun

    J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 130 (2025)

  6. Amplified mesoscale and sub-mesoscale variability and increased concentration of precipitation under global warming over Western North America

    Clément Guilloteau, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

    J. Clim., 38 (2025)

  7. More high-impact atmospheric river-induced extreme precipitation events under warming in a high-resolution model

    Xiuwen Guo, Yang Gao, Shaoqing Zhang, Wenju Cai, L. Ruby Leung, Jian Lu, Xiaodong Chen, Jakob Zscheischler, Luanne Thompson, Bin Guan, Jonathan Rutz, Chuncheng Guo, Wenbin Kou, Wenxuan Cheng, Huiwang Gao, Lixin Wu

    One Earth, 7 (2024)

  8. Characterizing the Uncertainty of CMORPH Products for Estimating Orographic Precipitation over Northern California

    Zhe Li, Haonan Chen, Robert Cifelli, Pinging Xie, Xiaodong Chen

    J. Hydrol., 634 (2024)

  9. Understanding the influence of urban form on the spatial pattern of precipitation

    Yanle Lu, Zhou Yu, John D. Albertson, Haonan Chen, Leiqiu Hu, Angeline Pendergrass, Xiaodong Chen, Qi Li

    Earth's Future, 129 (2024)

  10. Weather Systems Connecting Modes of Climate Variabilities to Regional Hydroclimate Extremes

    Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Ning Sun

    Geophys. Res. Lett., 50 (2023)

  11. Moisture Sources of Precipitation in the Great Lakes Region: Climatology and Recent Changes

    Zhao Yang, Yun Qian, Pengfei Xue, Jiali Wang, T. C. Chakraborty, William J. Pringle, Jianfeng Li, Xiaodong Chen

    Geophys. Res. Lett., 50 (2023)

  12. Response of Extreme Rainfall to Atmospheric Warming and Wetting: Implications for Hydrologic Designs Under a Changing Climate

    Jinghan Zhang, Long Yang, Miao Yu, Xiaodong Chen

    J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 128 (2023)

All 31 related papers in the full list